Finally the cards are played in the first round of a new referendum battle

5
2679

Commentary by Derek Bateman

Let’s admit at the outset that Theresa May is right.

She doesn’t have an option except to block a referendum during the Brexit two-year process.

Derek Bateman

Why? Because her government is already in total chaos without an agreed plan, with (according to David Davis) no costings, ready to fall off the cliff and hope for the best. Her most experienced negotiator has resigned. She is hijacked by the extremist wing of her anti-EU party who are leading her into a decision that no moderate Tory is likely to support. She is unelected to the highest office. Her limited majority may shrink or disappear if prosecutions follow the guilty judgment on election fraud. Her closest ally is smarting in humiliation after being overruled on the Budget.

By declining to engage fully with parliament she has made Brexit her personal project. If it fails, so does she. She has exposed herself as an anti-democratic leader claiming a dictator’s mandate over the EU exit process while having none herself. Her characteristic dismissal of anything but insincere cooperation within the constituent parts of the union has led to revolt. Ireland, so constant a friend, is in a turmoil of fury and resentment. She is, in short, being overwhelmed by events. As she stands on the blazing battlements sending archers and spear men to the wall, behind her the Scottish savages are mounting a full-on attack on her flank. If I were her, I’d say the same: I can’t deal with this now.

LIMITLESS

In this she will be guided by her loyal lieutenants in the North – Davidson and Mundell whose combined contempt for a self-governing Scotland is limitless. She will have believed the polling evidence – and their advice – The Scots don’t want another vote so face them down. This, like the decision to hold the first referendum believing a three-to-one win inevitable, is wishful thinking.

The comedy count is mounting. Telling Scots they would be voting without knowing what for is a line straight from Yes Minister given the Brexit vote and the reservoir of ignorance in which she is marooned.To hear the dismal and weak Mundell say it’s no’ fair is pathetic. IT WAS IN THE MANIFESTO. Sturgeon won big time. She has requested engagement, produced a paper, more than May has done, and played a straight game. That it plays to her plan for May to stumble so lamely, is hardly a politician’s  fault. You play the opponent before you. Is she complaining about only having Corbyn leading the opposition?

If she wanted to play the Iron Lady she should have said No. No referendum and left it at that. That’s what a rejection looks like. Instead she prevaricated – knowing she can’t escape for ever. Not being able to answer the inevitable When question looks what it is – weak. She is stalling but as she does so she shores up the idea of an unprincipled and frightened advocate at bay. She has handed the gift of grievance to the best grievance artists in the business.

COMMAND

And what an opportunity she now presents to the EU negotiators. Unelected, undemocratic, in denial, losing command of her country, clueless and in retreat.

Sturgeon need do nothing except hold her ground and appeal to Europe for moral and political support – she is now held hostage, a keen European, in the grip of anti-EU zealots whose denial of democracy would likely debar them from membership of the Brussels club were they applying today.

This is not the time to be precipitous. The cards have been played.When the shape of Brexit becomes clear is the time to demand action or to take it without their consent. By then there may be more than the SNP demanding action before the catastrophe which, after the Dutch election, looks like running against the new pro-European tide.

Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+Email this to someone

5 COMMENTS

  1. Spot on Derek

    Nicola is behaving in a very firm but measured way -which is perfect.

    I think that continued resolute reasonableness will win the day.

    The more they try to force this crumbling union to stay together, the more it falls apart in their grasp.

    They are far more afraid of Ghandi than Braveheart

    Calm minds and warm welcoming hearts are needed to welcome previous No voters to reconsider

  2. Great piece Derek and thank you for it. Says everything I have been thinking. The colonialist ship is sinking fast !

  3. Can anyone tell me where is the proof that the people of Scotland don’t want a ref 2 I mean they keep making these claims when to me the opposite seems to be true 56mps in Westminster and being in government in Scotland surely speaks for itselfe that the people not only want but demand a ref.,2

  4. Derek, I like the Alice in Wonderland take in your first paragraph: first the judgement, then the prosecutions. Off with their heads! I shall now proceed to read the rest of your article. Always entertaining.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here