Golf, Welsh National and Scottish Elections

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GOLF

The opening tournament of the year on the PGA Tour takes place in Hawaii with a very good field and what promises to be an open competition.

Australian Geoff Ogilvy will have many supporters to successfully defend the title, especially as his form is always at it’s best early in the season (he has never won on Tour after March) and Ernie Els will be expecting a good show following a return to form in 2010, which included his fifth South African Open title.

My pick is going to be Hunter Mahan (available at 20/1 with Coral).

Mahan won twice last year, the Bridgestone Invitational and the Phoenix Open and finished fifth on his last outing at the Chevron Challenge at the beginning of December.

Hyundai Tournament of Champions

06 Jan. 19:30

  G Ogilvy  8/1  
  E Els  10/1  
  D Johnson  12/1 
  G McDowell  12/1  
  J Furyk  12/1  
  S Stricker  14/1  
  M Kuchar  16/1  
  I Poulter  16/1  
  H Mahan  16/1   
  A Scott  20/1  
  C Villegas  25/1  
  T Clark  25/1  
  F Molinari  25/1  
  S Appleby  25/1  
  Z Johnson  33/1
  Anthony Kim  33/1  
  J Rose  33/1  
  J Day  33/1  
  J Byrd  33/1 
  B Crane  40/1 
  B Haas  40/1  
  Bubba Watson  40/1  
  C Hoffman  50/1  

  66/1 Bar.   Each-Way: 1/4 Odds  1,2,3,4,5.

The fact that Retief Goosen and British Open Champion Louis Oosthuizen are in the field is to our advantage here as it means the odds on my pick, Charl Schwartzel , are bigger than they should be for his attempt to defend the title he won last year (available at 11/2 with William Hill)

Schwartzel is always to be feared in his homeland and showed he is in great form with a fourth place finish last time out at the South African Open.

Africa Open
 
06 Jan. 04:30
 

  C Schwartzel  5/1  
  R Goosen  5/1 
  L Oosthuizen  8/1  
  T Aiken  16/1  
  J Kingston  16/1  
  R Rock  20/1  
  R Wattel  25/1  
  G Maybin  25/1 
  D Clarke  33/1  
  B Grace  33/1  
  Chris Wood  33/1  
  J Van Zyl  33/1  
  R Dinwiddie  33/1  
  Jbe’ Kruger  33/1 
  D Gaunt  40/1 
  P Edberg  50/1  
  D Drysdale  50/1  

  66/1 Bar.   Each-Way: 1/4 Odds  1,2,3,4,5.

 

HORSE RACING

My original selection for the race Bluesea Cracker was withdrawn for the re-arranged Welsh National after the course fell to the freezing weather over Christmas.

Grand National winning partnership of Tony McCoy, Jonjo O’Neill and JP Mcanus team up with the worthy favourite Synchronised.

I’m taking a chance on Watamu Bay, a novice chaser trained by champion trainer Paul Nicholls, who has won his last two races very comfortably and might be improving at a rate fast enough to take this gruelling contest.

 

Coral Welsh National,Chepstow – 8th January

 Synchronised  5/1  
 Maktu  7/1  
 Dance Island  9/1  
 Watamu Bay  10/1  
 Summery Justice  12/1  
 Silver By Nature  14/1  
 Dream Alliance  14/1  
 Exmoor Ranger  14/1  
 Hello Bud  16/1  
 Becauseicouldntsee  16/1  
 Lochan Lacha  16/1  
 Arbor Supreme  20/1  
 Imoncloudnine  20/1  
 Old Benny  20/1  
 Master Overseer  20/1  
 Ballyfoy  25/1  
 Ballyfitz  25/1  
 Giles Cross  25/1  
 Magic Sky  25/1 
 Cmonthehammers  25/1

 33/1 Bar.   Each-Way: 1/4 Odds  1,2,3,4. 

 

POLITICS

My advice is to take the odds of 9/2 on offer for an SNP win in May as they are unlikely to go any bigger and almost certain to get a fair bit lower on the run up to the election.

Then you either stick with your bet on the SNP at a great price or if you can stomach putting any of your hard earned on a Labour win, you take their odds once they have contracted and lock-in a profit.

05 May. Scottish Parliamentary Elections

To win most seats

  Labour  1/8  
  SNP  9/2  
  Conservatives  100/1  
  Liberal Democrats  100/1  

All odds supplied by  Ladbrokes.

As always if your having a bet, bet sensibly and good luck.