Polls “extremely encouraging” say SNP with one year to go


  With a year to go to the referendum, SNP Depute Leader and Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said it is all to play for after polls confirmed that those who are undecided are more likely to vote for independence and that Yes votes also increase as people consider the consequences of a No vote.

A Panelbase poll for the Sunday Times showed that when people who are still undecided were asked how they would vote and included in the figures, support for Yes increases to 48%, compared to 52% for No – a gap of just 4 points.

And an ICM poll for Scotland on Sunday showed that among people who have decided how to vote, 40 per cent would vote Yes, but that the Yes vote increases to 45% when people are asked to assume a No vote would mean no extra tax and welfare powers for the Scottish Parliament – and devolving welfare, for example, has been expressly ruled out by Westminster parties.

Ms Sturgeon said:

“These polls are extremely encouraging for the Yes campaign.

“A Yes vote of up to 48 per cent as we approach a year to go is a strong platform, and I believe the positive case that the best decisions in Scotland are the ones made in Scotland will prevail over the No campaign’s ‘Project Fear’.

“Even David Cameron admits that Scotland has got what it takes to be an independent country.

“Polls will move up and down between now and next September, but these encouraging figures show that more people are choosing good government with independence rather than bad government from Westminster.

“A majority of people already agree that Scotland can be a successful independent country, and that the Scottish Parliament rather than Westminster should be in charge of tax and welfare powers.

“The way to achieve these powers so that we can build a fairer society and stronger economy in Scotland is to vote Yes.

“I am confident that over the next year growing numbers of people will conclude that it is better for all of us if decisions about Scotland are taken by the people who live and work here, and will therefore decide to vote Yes.”

The Sunday Times Panelbase poll, also put support for the SNP at exactly the same level as its 2011 landslide victory.

The ICM poll also suggests that support for a Yes vote would command a ten point lead if Scots could be convinced they would be £500 better off.  The poll put support for independence at 47% with those against at 37%, with 16% undecided.

The poll showed strong support for so called Devo Max if Scots vote No in 2014, with 59% saying they would want powers over tax and welfare to be devolved to Holyrood.