Referendum race remains tight as new poll shows single figure lead for No

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  By G.A.Ponsonby
 
The gap between those in favour of independence and those against stands at single figures, according to results of a new poll.
 
A Panelbase survey on behalf of online site Wings over Scotland has indicated the gap is now down to eight per cent, with 43 per cent saying they will vote No in September next year against 35 per cent opting for Yes.

The survey has also revealed a large section of the electorate are still to make up their mind with one fifth saying they do not know which way they will vote, and one per cent saying they will not vote.

The latest results show a slight improvement for the Yes campaign when compared to the last Panelbase poll.  In September a survey commissioned by the Sunday Times showed Yes on 37 per cent, No on 47 per cent with 16 per cent undecided. 

Comparing voter switch in the latest survey suggests that twice as many No voters (4%) have moved to Don’t Know than from Yes (2%).

The eight point gap between the two sides remains, even when restricting the results to those likely to vote – Yes 37% with No 45%.

In order to counter claims that Panelbase polls favoured the Yes campaign, the survey also asked members of a different company the same question, the result was Yes 36%, No 44% and Don’t Know 20% – the same gap of 8 per cent.

The survey also challenged media suggestion that support for Yes was heavily reliant on support for the SNP.  The poll showed that over a third of those voting Yes came from pro-Union parties, with Labour the largest with 19% saying they support of independence.

The survey found 49% said the economy was the key issue, prospects for children and grandchildren stood at 42%.  Rather surprisingly, ensuring Scotland always gets the government it votes for came in at only 29%.  The survey showed 61% of undecided voters gave the economy as the most important issue.

Broken down by voter intention, 60% of those in favour of Yes said choosing Scotland’s government was the most important issue, with future generations at 47%.

No voters prioritised the economy (55%), with UK influence around the world second at 49%.