Study shows indyref gap just five points when people are asked for probable vote


  By a Newsnet reporter
The gap between Yes and No is just five per cent when people are asked for their likely vote, according to a survey published this week.
With Monday marking one month until the independence referendum, new research published this week by the Economic and Social Research Council’s Future of the UK and Scotland project, puts No on 47 per cent and Yes on 42 per cent when people are asked for their probable vote.

Commenting, Yes Scotland Chief Executive Blair Jenkins said: “This research is very interesting, and shows that the gap between Yes and No falls to just five points when people are asked for the probability of how they will vote – which indicates that opinion remains extremely fluid, with everything to play for on 18 September.”

The survey is the latest to suggest the referendum race may well be too close to call as we near September 18th.  The closeness of the race has seen the three London parties come together to sign a written pledge to grant Scotland more powers in the event of a No vote.
However, the pro-independence campaign Yes Scotland has said that only a Yes vote can deliver the tax and welfare powers that Scotland needs – and called on the leader of the pro-Union alliance, Alistair Darling, to detail what new powers, if any, would be guaranteed for Scotland in the event of a No vote.

In a recent TV debate Mr Darling appeared to struggle when asked to name just two new powers.

Blair Jenkins called on the No campaign to clarify exactly what a No vote will mean, and added: “We know from other research that the Scottish Parliament making all the decisions for Scotland is by far the most popular constitutional option – and that is exactly what a Yes vote will deliver.

“But with just over a month away from this decision, the people of Scotland are still none the wiser about what new powers, if any, Scotland is guaranteed in the event of a No vote. Given the track record of the Westminster parties, and Boris Johnson’s hostility to any new powers, it doesn’t look like we’d receive any.

“Alistair Darling and his Tory, Labour and Liberal Democrat friends have still to come clean about what their Plan A is is for Scotland if we vote No. That is another reason why Scotland must vote Yes.

“We are now nearly one month away from Scotland’s one opportunity to achieve the powers Scotland needs to build a fairer, more prosperous country – where the wealth of Scotland works for all the people who live here.”