Support for SNP reaches record high in new poll


by a Newsnet reporter


An Ipsos-Mori poll of Scottish voting intention published yesterday shows the SNP is continuing to build on the success of its electoral landslide in May. The headline figures show that the party has built a lead of 22% over the Labour party in Holyrood voting intentions.


49% of those who say they are certain to vote say they will lend their support to the SNP, an increase of 4% on the party’s record showing in the May election. The poll puts the SNP on its highest ever rating with Ipsos-Mori.

The poll also shows that voter confidence in Alex Salmond’s tenure as First Minister continues to grow. 62% of Scottish voters report that they are satisfied with Mr Salmond’s performance, with only 28% dissatisfied, an approval rating of 34%. Willie Rennie, the new leader of the Lib Dems in Scotland, scored a poor -14%, even lower than the low achieved by his predecessor Tavish Scott.

Respondents were not questioned about the performance of the Labour and Conservative leaders as these parties have not yet established their new leaderships.

The poll of 1002 Scottish adults also gives the SNP a 9% lead over Labour in Westminster voting intentions. This will be of particular concern to the party leadership in Westminster as Labour has come to rely upon Scots voting differentially in Westminster and Holyrood elections.

Following the trams debacle, the party’s failure to find a replacement leader and the criticisms that it has turned in on itself since its election defeat, the Labour party has continued to lose support amongst voters, this latest poll reports a drop of 4% in support for the party compared to the May election.

Meanwhile the travails of the Lib Dems continue, with support for the party dropping to just 7%.

Welcoming the record high poll results SNP Business Convener Derek MacKay MSP said:

“This is an excellent poll and these are fantastic results showing the SNP maintaining our momentum as we continue to win support from voters across the country who share our ambition to make Scotland better.

“As we look forward to setting out our programme for government next week, to delivering on our commitments during the election and to the exciting opportunity for Scotland’s voters to choose a new future for their country this poll is a welcome endorsement of our first hundred days as a majority government.

“In a week when all parties have tried to talk down Scotland’s abilities and our appetite for success this poll shows voters turning to the SNP and our vision for Scotland’s future in increasing numbers.

“With the SNP now winning increased support from voters at Westminster and the public satisfaction with Alex Salmond continuing to increase voters are backing a party that is prepared to stand up to UK Government decisions and to set Scotland on a different path.

“The SNP won a historic victory in May this year with the overwhelming support of the people of Scotland and this poll reflects the hard work of the SNP through our first hundred days in government.”

The poll of 1002 adults in Scotland between the 25th and 29th August shows:

Holyrood constituency vote (May election / Ipsos Mori – April 2011)
SNP 49% (+4% /+4%)
Lab 28% (-4% / -6%)
Con 13% (-1% /+3%)
LD 7% (-1% /-2%)
Oth 3%

Westminster voting intention (May 2010 election)
SNP 42% (+22%)
Lab 33% (-9%)
Con 15% (-2%)
LD 6% (-13%)
Other 4%

Satisfaction ratings
Alex Salmond : Satisfied 62% : Dissatisfied 28% : Net Satisfaction +34
Willie Rennie : Satisfied 17% : Dissatisfied 32% : Net Satisfaction -14